A UK small-cap and some future price potentials
Independent analyst Alistair Strang considers the future direction of James Fisher shares.
3rd April 2024 08:33
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
Fisher (James) & Sons (LSE:FSJ) are at around 247p currently.
For the past couple of years, it’s almost felt like a rule was being applied, one designed to make traders believe the share price could not sink below 245p. We often believe this can be an example of brokers exercising a sense of humour, awaiting sufficient number of shares purchased at “bottom” prior to executing a final “gotcha” drop.
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In the case of Fisher, we're not entirely confident this is the case as, from a big-picture stance, it is difficult to calculate below 245p without coming up with answers that are prefaced by impossible minus signs. Perhaps it is the case that the share price is indeed at a “bottom”, although when we review movements since 2022, there is a vague chance that weakness below 245p could maybe bottom at 120p.
Should we chose to embrace optimism, above 277p could hopefully trigger recovery to an initial important 292p. Recovery such as this would be important, exceeding the blue downtrend and transporting the share price into a zone where a longer-term cycle to 344p looks very possible.
In this instance, we can even supply a third-level target potential at 423p, an ambition which makes a lot of visual sense and implies that any break upwards is liable to find the share price stuck in its channel between 245p and 423p. Only with closure above 423p will we dare to believe a significant change has taken place in its longer-term potentials.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea.
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