10 fast-moving growth shares at a good price
You don't have to pay over the odds for great growth stocks. Stockopedia’s Ben Hobson proves the point.
29th May 2019 13:52
by Ben Hobson from Stockopedia
You don't have to pay over the odds for great growth stocks. Stockopedia's Ben Hobson proves the point.
For many investors, the perennial appeal of fast-growing stocks is their ability to deliver outsize capital returns. Forget value, forget dividend income… growth in its purest form is all about fast-paced earnings expansion lighting a fire under share prices. It's about going big or going home. It's the classic territory of popular traders like Mark Minervini and William O'Neil - and it's a strategy that's made them famous.
But there is another way. Growth investing doesn't always have to be about buying fast-moving shares at any price. Over the years, it has evolved a second strand. Once upon a time, growth investors paid little attention to valuation. These days, "growth at a reasonable price" (GARP) is, for some, a much more palatable way of doing things.
Balancing growth and value
One of the early advocates for buying growth stocks at reasonable prices was Peter Lynch. The former Fidelity Investments money manager used what he called the price-to-earnings growth ratio - the PEG - to ensure he wasn't over paying for expected future growth.
The PEG ratio works by taking last year's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio and dividing it by the consensus forecast earnings growth for the next year. A PEG of less than 1.0 means you could be buying growth on the cheap. Any more than 1.0 and it could be looking expensive
Lynch used this approach very successfully, and others followed. Today, GARP strategies are some of the best-known go-to methods of finding small-cap stocks that could be tomorrow's growth stars. In most cases, the strategies are multi-faceted: they look for a range of factors that tend to be the fingerprints of successful growth investments.
One of the most popular - and a long-term successful strategy modelled by Stockopedia - is the approach used by Robbie Burns, the Naked Trader.
Robbie is best known for his book, The Naked Trader: How Anyone Can Make Money Trading Shares. In it, he outlines a strategy that uses a range of measures spanning growth, price momentum and value factors and focuses on small and mid-cap stocks. He also uses some non-financial, qualitative rules in his analysis.
Like many GARP strategies, the Naked Trader approach looks for positive sales and earnings growth over the past year. Net debt should be well under control. In terms of momentum, the price of the stock should be up against the market over the past year and it should be well away from its 52-week low.
In addition, this strategy looks for a PE ratio of less than 20 times earnings and for price-to-pre-tax profits to be under control as well. These valuation checks are about making sure that the market isn’t already pricing-in very high expectations.
Here are some of the companies currently passing these Robbie Burns-inspired growth stock rules:
Name | Mkt Cap £m | EPS Growth % | Sales Growth % | % Price Chg 1y | P/E Ratio | Sector |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GCP Student Living | 669.2 | 27.8 | 18.9 | 10.9 | 9 | Financials |
T Clarke | 57.8 | 34.3 | 5.01 | 53.2 | 9.3 | Industrials |
Carr's | 138.8 | 33.2 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 11.1 | Defensives |
Headlam | 398.1 | 2.89 | 2.29 | 2.7 | 11.2 | Cyclicals |
Character | 118 | 19.2 | 9.88 | 6.7 | 11.5 | Cyclicals |
Speedy Hire | 323.6 | 20.8 | 5.82 | 3.4 | 11.7 | Industrials |
Sabre Insurance | 660 | 6.9 | 4.74 | 2.54 | 11.9 | Financials |
Mission Marketing | 72.5 | 17.9 | 10.9 | 77.1 | 12.3 | Cyclicals |
Anglo Pacific | 390.2 | 228 | 16.5 | 46.3 | 12.8 | Materials |
MJ Gleeson | 477.1 | 30.2 | 36 | 15.6 | 12.9 | Cyclicals |
Source: Stockopedia
This definitely isn't necessarily reflective of what Robbie either owns or would own - it simply echoes the spirit of his kind of GARP approach.
All of these shares have performed well against the market over the past year, but remain on PE ratios of less than 13 times earnings. With a market cap of £670 million, GCP Student Living (LSE:DIGS) is the largest stock here by market cap, and also the cheapest based on its PE. That said, it’s potentially an outlier given that it’s a real estate investment trust.
Among the others are well known small-cap names with strong growth profiles - ranging from the construction specialist T Clarke (LSE:CTO), floorcovering firm Headlam (LSE:HEAD), toy company Character (LSE:CCT) and hire chain Speedy Hire (LSE:SDY).
Growth at sane prices
At any time, the number of companies passing the rules for GARP strategies can be a useful gauge of the market. In upbeat conditions, when investors are moving into smaller growth plays and driving up their momentum, the numbers of stocks passing the rules tends to rise. But when momentum falters and the market goes risk-off, these strategies can struggle for ideas.
Right now, the numbers in recent months have been rising. Growth stocks tend to be where the excitement is in the stock market. But stretched valuations can leave investors exposed. Taking the essence of growth and mixing in reasonable valuations could be a safe option.
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interactive investor readers can get a free 14-day trial of Stockopedia here.
These investment articles are simply for generating ideas. If you are thinking of investing they should only ever be a starting point for your own in-depth research.
These articles are provided for information purposes only. Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.
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