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Share price drama expected at BAT

Despite a bounce from April's lows and a yield above 9%, independent analyst Alistair Strang is wary about the tobacco and vaping giant's share price.

17th July 2024 07:33

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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    British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS)'s share price decline from 2017’s unfathomable high has led it to currently just under 50% of such a level, leading us to fear more drama may yet come.

    While the Red uptrend since 2008 has recently experienced a couple of solid confirmation footfalls by the share price, we’re inclined to suspect more reversals are coming.

    Currently below 2,340p would tick a pretty major box for concern, risking triggering reversals down to an initial 1,982p, something with quite devastating visual implications. Our secondary works out at a longer term 1,416p and hopefully a bottom as it rather neatly matches the prior low of 2018.

    Conversely, BATS would need above 2,575p to give the first dusting of hope, potentially triggering recovery to an initial 2,717p with secondary, if beaten, at 2,881p.

    Only with closure above this secondary level shall we dare hope some true recovery may be lighting things up. 

    bats170724.jpg

    Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

    Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

    Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

    These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

    Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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